Skip to content
NOWCAST WXII 12 News at 8 a.m. Saturday
Watch on Demand
Advertisement

Trump or Biden? National poll finds majorities of voters wish neither was running

Kennedy's early supporters could be enough to sway result, poll finds

Trump or Biden? National poll finds majorities of voters wish neither was running

Kennedy's early supporters could be enough to sway result, poll finds

Advertisement
Trump or Biden? National poll finds majorities of voters wish neither was running

Kennedy's early supporters could be enough to sway result, poll finds

Disappointment and fear. A new national poll finds those will be the predominant feelings if either President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election and that neither candidate holds a strong advantage at this stage. Video above: Biden wins SC primaryRespondents to the UMass-Amherst/WCVB poll were asked to pick from a list of emotions they would feel if either candidate won and disappointment was the top selection for both. Fear was second. Poll: Toplines | CrosstabsIf Trump wins in November, 19% said they would feel pride. In a Biden victory, 13% said they would feel pride. The national poll is based on responses from 1,064 individuals who answered the survey between Jan. 25 and Jan. 30. The margin of error is 3.7%. As the Republican nomination process continues, the poll finds Trump in a commanding lead. He was supported by 65% of the poll respondents who identify as Republicans, while former Ambassador Nikki Haley had support from 17%. When asked who they would vote for if the general election were held today, 39% said Trump and 36% said Biden, the Democrat. Notably, Trump's lead is within the poll's margin of error. The poll found that 8% probably wouldn't vote, 7% were unsure who they would support and 3% would support a candidate not included in the poll's question. The remaining 7% said they would vote for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who dropped his unlikely bid for the Democratic Party's nomination in October and is running as an independent. His fringe views include a vocal distrust of vaccines, he has appeared on a channel run by conspiracy theorist Alex Jones and headlined a stop on a Christian nationalist road show."While Robert Kennedy Jr. is polling well for a third-party presidential candidate, it is likely that much of his support is reflective of voters' familiarity with the Kennedy family name," said Prof. Tatishe M. Nteta, who directs the poll. "As we get closer to the general election campaign and voters begin to get a better sense of Kennedy's policy positions and his vision for the future of the nation, the relatively high support that Kennedy now enjoys may fade."When Kennedy supporters were asked which major party candidate they would support instead, 33% selected Trump, 23% picked Biden and 44% said they probably wouldn't vote. For both Biden and Trump, more than half of those polled said the nation would be better off, or much better off if they did not run in 2024. Less than one-third said the likely rematch of the 2020 presidential election was good for the country. Of the 45% of respondents who said a rematch is somewhat bad or very bad for the country, most said it was because the candidates "are too old" and nearly half said it was because "they focus on old conflicts instead of the problems facing the country today." The poll also indicates that a majority of Trump's supporters would remain in his camp even if he is convicted in one or more of his pending criminal cases. Only 7% of those who currently support the Republican said a conviction would definitely change their vote, while 51% said it definitely would not.

Disappointment and fear. A new national poll finds those will be the predominant feelings if either President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump wins the 2024 election and that neither candidate holds a strong advantage at this stage.

Video above: Biden wins SC primary

Advertisement

Respondents to the UMass-Amherst/WCVB poll were asked to pick from a list of emotions they would feel if either candidate won and disappointment was the top selection for both. Fear was second.

Poll: Toplines | Crosstabs

If Trump wins in November, 19% said they would feel pride. In a Biden victory, 13% said they would feel pride.

The national poll is based on responses from 1,064 individuals who answered the survey between Jan. 25 and Jan. 30. The margin of error is 3.7%.

Poll findings: Fears and hopes if Trump elected
Hearst Owned
Fears and hopes if Trump elected
Poll findings: Fears and hopes if Biden elected
Hearst Owned
Fears and hopes if Biden elected

As the Republican nomination process continues, the poll finds Trump in a commanding lead. He was supported by 65% of the poll respondents who identify as Republicans, while former Ambassador Nikki Haley had support from 17%.

When asked who they would vote for if the general election were held today, 39% said Trump and 36% said Biden, the Democrat. Notably, Trump's lead is within the poll's margin of error.

The poll found that 8% probably wouldn't vote, 7% were unsure who they would support and 3% would support a candidate not included in the poll's question.

The remaining 7% said they would vote for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who dropped his unlikely bid for the Democratic Party's nomination in October and is running as an independent. His fringe views include a vocal distrust of vaccines, he has appeared on a channel run by conspiracy theorist Alex Jones and headlined a stop on a Christian nationalist road show.

"While Robert Kennedy Jr. is polling well for a third-party presidential candidate, it is likely that much of his support is reflective of voters' familiarity with the Kennedy family name," said Prof. Tatishe M. Nteta, who directs the poll. "As we get closer to the general election campaign and voters begin to get a better sense of Kennedy's policy positions and his vision for the future of the nation, the relatively high support that Kennedy now enjoys may fade."

When Kennedy supporters were asked which major party candidate they would support instead, 33% selected Trump, 23% picked Biden and 44% said they probably wouldn't vote.

For both Biden and Trump, more than half of those polled said the nation would be better off, or much better off if they did not run in 2024. Less than one-third said the likely rematch of the 2020 presidential election was good for the country.

Of the 45% of respondents who said a rematch is somewhat bad or very bad for the country, most said it was because the candidates "are too old" and nearly half said it was because "they focus on old conflicts instead of the problems facing the country today."

The poll also indicates that a majority of Trump's supporters would remain in his camp even if he is convicted in one or more of his pending criminal cases. Only 7% of those who currently support the Republican said a conviction would definitely change their vote, while 51% said it definitely would not.