NOAA: Record increases in atmospheric methane may be evidence of a climate-related feedback loop
Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA, have been tracking concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane since the 1980s.
For the second year in a row, methane gas has increased at a record-high rate compared to the previous year.
Methane is one of the most powerful greenhouse gasses, which trap heat and contribute to increasing global temperatures associated with human-caused climate change.
Methane's warming effect is 25 times greater than carbon dioxide, yet we hear about the latter more often because of how long it lingers in the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide can stay trapped in the air for thousands of years while methane tends to cycle out within a decade.
Given that relatively short lifespan, NOAA scientists are concerned that recent record increases in methane are evidence of a climate-related feedback loop.
“We think there are some signals that are acting on top of the long-term increase and that’s possibly related to the natural wetland emission,” said Xin Lan, a researcher with NOAA's Global Monitoring Laboratory.
Wetlands contain lots of decaying organic matter. That decay process releases methane. Rain can accelerate that release. As the atmosphere warms, it's able to hold more moisture and produce more rain over those wetland areas, leading to more methane release.
“And if that is the case, that could indicate something quite concerning, which was the climate feedback that we think that might be happening already,” Lan said.
That feedback loop is an example of a naturally-driven cycle that likely can't be altered significantly by human activity or inactivity. But there are other areas where methane releases can be reduced.
One big one is the fossil fuel industry. The production of fossil fuels releases methane as a byproduct. That methane is often leaked unintentionally. Scientists estimate that that accounts for about 30% of methane emissions.
Methane is also released as a byproduct of digestion from ruminant animals like cows. Research is currently being conducted on dietary changes that could limit those bovine emissions.
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